Karnataka opinion poll: India Today predicts hung Assembly, Congress single-largest party

Karnataka opinion poll: India Today predicts hung Assembly, Congress single-largest party

The BJP, which wants to oust the Siddaramaiah government, will come second but it will also need the help of another bloc to form the government, the opinion poll conducted by India Today-Karvy Insights said.

Speaking to media persons after garlanding the statue of warrior queen Rani Chennamma at Kittur in this district, he said BJP was gaining ground in Karnataka ahead of May 12 Assembly elections as Congress was facing a strong anti-incumbency factor due to its misrule and corruption and people were inclined to bring back BJP to ensure clean administration. The good news for the Congress is that the JD (S)-BSP combine is more likely to plumb for the Congress; According to the survey, 39 per cent want the JD (S)+ to tie up with the Congress in case of a hung Assembly while 29 per cent want the party to ally with the BJP.

The poll predicts that the Congress, which had managed to win well above the magic number of 113 in the 2013 elections, will fail to reach the majority mark this time. The Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) has been running an aggressive campaign in the state with Yogi Adityanath, party president Amit Shah and other important leaders having visited the state.

For the India Today-Karvy Insights opinion poll, a total of 27,919 interviews were conducted across all of Karnataka's 224 constituencies that will vote in the upcoming Assembly election. Support for giving the party a second chance is particularly high among Muslims (65 percent). More than half of Kubras (55%) and Dalits (53%) believe that the Congress deserves a second chance.

Unemployment seems to be the biggest issue of concern in Karnataka with 22 percent of respondents saying it is an issue that concerns them the most. Senior party leaders such as M. Mallikarjun Kharge, M. Veerappa Moily and K. Rahman Khan have reportedly opposed the Chief Minister's decision. However, JD (S) claims to have improved its base in social media in the last five years, with access to 15,000 WhatsApp groups, hundreds of fan pages each with 70,000 to 1 lakh followers, 40 lakh e-mail addresses and 1.4 crore phone numbers, acquired from various sources. 30% believe their lives have become better under the rule.